KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 97%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
35,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
3.0% / 3.9%
Écart
0.9 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
21 nov. 24, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael and Syria normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketWhich countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
KalshiWill Serbia normalize relations with Kosovo in 2026?
FutuurRègles
If Israel and Qatar normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Times
- The agreement must be ratified as before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.
- Examples of agreements that would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 719,6 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8 k €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 résultats de plus
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Israel and Qatar normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.