- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks game be OVER 47.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals game be OVER 53.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before October 12, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Who will win MPFG 2026? (with more options)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Other · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- SOAI#4: A deepfake/agent-driven cyber attack triggers the first NATO/UN emergency debate on AI security
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- SOAI#9: Datacenter NIMBYism takes the US by storm and sways certain midterm/gubernatorial elections in 2026
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Who will be first to Codeforces GM?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: MattTheNub · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- SOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will I become overweight within 2 months?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- NFL: Will at least one NFL regular-season game end in a tie during the 2026 season?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will any NFL game end in a tie this regular season (2026-27)?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- EPL: Will Manchester City beat Liverpool?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins game be OVER 42.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders game be OVER 45.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints game be OVER 42.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans game be OVER 39.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts game be OVER 45.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns game be OVER 38.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders game be OVER 42.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears game be OVER 44.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will I like the UATX High School Honors event? [SHORT FUSE]
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- EPL: Will Manchester City beat Liverpool? (Draw No Bet)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will the Israeli government significantly undermine the next election?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the Philadelphia Eagles vs. Jacksonville Jaguars game be OVER 44.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day next week? (Ṁ10 Bonus)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will I do chores and digital decluttering for 45+ minutes per day next week? (Ṁ10 bonus)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will I avoid audiovisual media before 5 p.m. every day next week? (Ṁ10 Bonus)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will I study for 150+ minutes per day next week? (Ṁ10 bonus)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- [MLB Playoffs] Who wins Game 5 of the ALDS?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Cleveland Guardians · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- EPL: Will Everton beat Hull?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- EPL: Will Crystal Palace beat Nottingham Forest?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- F1: SINGAPORE 🇸🇬 GP 2026 WINNER 🏎️
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Max Verstappen 🇳🇱🚣♀️🏆 · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- F1: Who will win the 2026 Singapore Airlines Singapore Grand Prix?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen (Oracle Red Bull Racing) · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will a wild card team win the MLB World Series in 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Daily Coinflip
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will my current Manifold streak last until 2027?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will a non-MF group be proved this month?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will a non-hyperlinear group be proved this month?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will the second ascentionist of Seb Bouin's DNA agree with the 9c grade?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Douglas Ruas · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will Puella Magi Madoka Magica: Walpurgisnacht Rising contain a magical girl first introduced in Magia Record?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will Tetra apply to that job by 11th October?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- Will Tetra clear the junk off the treadmill in the next three days?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 11 oct. 2026
- EPL: Will Manchester United beat Tottenham Hotspur?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Which AI sub will i buy next?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Opencode Go · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will Ye / Kanye West perform in St. Petersburg on both 10 and 11 October 2026, as planned?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will Travis Kelce play for the Chiefs next Season(26-27)?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will OpenAI release a fully autonomous AI agent product before July 2027?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will there be at least twice the number of YES holders than NO holders?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Voter turnout in next Unite general secretary election exceeds 15%
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will i successfully
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will Alex Radu find a sponsor for Disposition (or any other YSWS) by the end of November 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- EPL: Will Brighton beat Sunderland? (Draw No Bet)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- EPL: Will Fulham beat Ipswich Town? (Draw No Bet)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- EPL: Will Brentford beat Aston Villa?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- EPL: Will Chelsea beat Bournemouth?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will Eliezer and Gretta still be really into each other on October 4th, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Who will win Il Lombardia (Giro di Lombardia/Tour of Lombardia) 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Paul Seixas · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- What will be the German Youth Word of the Year 2026? (67? Du bist gut genug? Ragebait? ...)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Ragebait · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- EPL: Will there be OVER 2.5 total goals in Arsenal vs. Leeds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- How quickly will I run a 5km race on October 10?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: 29 - 32min · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will Labour win the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will Anthropic release Claude Fable 5.2 or higher on October 9, 2026 (PT)?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories in 2025 or 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will there be a fourth Korean Nobel Prize winner in 2026? Diaspora counts.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- 2026 Might and Power Winner?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Land Legend · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will a fat woman destroy a glass bridge with a boulder?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will Adriano Espaillat run in the 2026 NY13 general election as an independent or third party candidate?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will silver outperform gold over the next week?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Who will be the next White House Press Secretary?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Other · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will Daniel Lord livestream between September 28 and October 9 of 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 10 oct. 2026
- Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 9, 2026? (Closes early)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will I get the openai pro subscription this week
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will SPX reach 8,000 this week (by October 9, 2026)?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Polymarket airdrop by wen?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: October 2026 or later · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will a vehicle stop at the red traffic light in the foreground?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will a vehicle pass the camera in the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will the woman in the black dress and boots cross the street within the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will the cyclist pass the parked USPS delivery truck within the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will a vehicle pass through the intersection in the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will a pedestrian walk into the crosswalk facing the camera within the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will the forklift be closer to the person than it currently is in the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will the person in the white shirt move in the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will the car be closer to the tall building in the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will a pedestrian enter the bike lane in the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will a vehicle stop in the intersection within the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: Will a vehicle pass in front of the Transamerica Pyramid in the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: A pedestrian is visible in the next 5 seconds.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: The rider reaches an intersection or a traffic light.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: A car, taxi, truck, bus, or van is alongside or ahead of the rider.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Do you like 86% odds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: The rider reaches an intersection or a traffic light.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: A car, taxi, truck, bus, or van is alongside or ahead of the rider.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: A pedestrian is visible in the next 5 seconds.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: A car, taxi, truck, bus, or van is alongside or ahead of the rider.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: A car, taxi, truck, bus, or van is alongside or ahead of the rider.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: A pedestrian is visible in the next 5 seconds.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: The rider reaches an intersection or a traffic light.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Next 5 seconds of an NYC ride: A car, taxi, truck, bus, or van is alongside or ahead of the rider.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will a pedestrian be visible in the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will a pedestrian be visible in the next 5 seconds?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Global Average Temperature Sept 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: September 2026 1.345C or more and less than 1.395C · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Palestine conflict?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will the people of Minneapolis win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- 🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Other · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $99.50 on October 8, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- [Kalshi] Nobel Peace Prize winner
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Kalshi resolves every option they list to 0% · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers game be OVER 46.5 points?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will Zack Polanski stand in a by election before the next UK general election?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Zack Polanski stands in a by election for UK parliament · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Daily Coinflip
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Labour · Résolu le 9 oct. 2026
- Will Kalafina appear in Puella Magi Madoka Magica: Walpurgisnacht Rising?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will any person be arrested in connection with protests at Mohan Bhagwat’s Madison Square Garden event?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will The Browser Company of New York get acquired or maintain active operations through Dec 2, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- How heavy will the first object successfully delivered into orbit be on starship
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: less than a cyberbeast · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will Apple announce new iPhone 18 features at September 2026 event?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- S&P500 close price today?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: 7760.01 to 7790.00 · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will a visible “chemtrail” be captured by a UW–Madison rooftop camera between 9 AM and 1 PM CT on October 8th, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will the 2026 Nobel Prize for Literature recipient be a woman?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will a round of the WRC be planned to take place in the USA in 2027?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Navier-Stokes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature go to a writer who writes mainly in English?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will OpenAI retract any of its AI-Driven Mathematical Results before 2027?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will any of OpenAI’s massive release of mathematical results be shown to be flawed by the end of November?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will I ban mobile devices from my bedroom next week? (Ṁ10 Bonus)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Who will win the 2026 UCI Road Race World Championships?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Brandon McNulty · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will I find someone from Manifold Markets to do flat viewings for me in London?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will clued-in people be talking about ASI-Arch as a significant inflection point in July 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- SoftBank (9984): which price thresholds will its October 8, 2026 option reference price reach?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: At least ¥6,000 · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Claude Haiku dying in 3 months?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will I make it to October 12 without turning on the heat in my house?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will the LeetCode daily after Oct 7 (301) be about brackets or parenthesis?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 8 oct. 2026
- Will Rust be the most admired *and* most desired language in the 2026 StackOverflow developer survey?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- 👽 Will scientists announce a credible potential signal from extraterrestrial intelligence before 2027?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Acquired by Paramount · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- When will a new Claude Haiku be released (after 4.5)?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: October · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Next Claude Haiku released before next Claude Fable?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- iPhones Will Introduce Authenticity Verification for Photos and Videos
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Which team will Brock Purdy play for in 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: San Francisco 49ers · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Which team will Breece Hall play for in 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: New York Jets · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will MrBeast video"I Survived The Most Extreme Places ..." (published on Sep 5, 2026)reach 80 mil before 15/Sep/2026
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will Ronaldo score in the next match
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will Typescript overtake JavaScript as the most popular language in GitHub by 2030?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will 7'4" Purdue C: Zach Eddy be drafted 1-15 in the 2024 NBA draft?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Which price will Bitcoin hit in September 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: $80,000 to $99,999 · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 1, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Most loved programming language in stackoverflow survey 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Other · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any strain of influenza before 2028?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will OpenAI release a model marketed as GPT-6 by August 31, 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will a new Claude Haiku model be released in October 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will Anthropic release a new model with <$5/Mtok out by the end of October 2026?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will Scream Fortress 2026 have 6 or more new maps? [Team Fortress 2] [TF2]
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- What are the genders of my fraternal twins?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Boy Boy · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will a 2026 science Nobel motivation mention AI, machine learning, or neural networks?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Daily Coinflip
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will I score 2 or 1 on Predictle 3 days in a row again by October 10, 2026? (10/10/26) — I just did without “cheating”.
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will James Talarico be leading by 3% or more in the upcoming YouGov Poll?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will the next Millennium problem to be solved be solved by a human?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will @manifoldpolitics create 5 or more markets in October 2026
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Is Digger (2026) a musical?
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: No · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026
- Will Calvin Wang submit the 21W.023 Discussion Post Homework on time? (Writing Advice from Stephen King)
Manifold Markets · Gagnant: Yes · Résolu le 7 oct. 2026