USA experiences a "meltdown" in November, 2026
Plateformes d'échangeOne-OffPolitique américainePolitiqueGéopolitiqueActionsOpérations sur titresIAÉlectionTech1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.1%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
30 oct. 26, 17:26 UTC1 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Subjective (obviously).
- This market resolves YES if the United States experiences a "meltdown" in November, 2026.
- There are two ways this market can resolve YES: the Special Way (joint political + tech turbulence) or the Typical Way (single catastrophic event)
- THE SPECIAL WAY (Political AND Tech Turbulence)
- Resolves YES if at least one qualifying Political Turbulence event AND at least one qualifying Technology Turbulence event occur during November 2026.
- Examples of Political Turbulence:
