Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

ExchangeOne-OffIA Tech Equities Corporate Actions Business & Corporate5mo

PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibré

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Anthropic 83.2%

Qualite du marche

49 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

6,9 k €

Liquidité moyenne

Achat / Vente

83.0% / 84.0%

Spread

1.0 pt

Spread serré

Variation 7j

+4.5 pts

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes

19 mai 26, 20:261 janv. 27, 12:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

Anthropic84%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026.

NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.

Tendance du volume

$50

2 juil.28j de données29 juil.

Marchés Associés

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

10,8 k €

SpaceX: 87%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

9,3 k €

↑$1.1T: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by July 31?

449,2 €

↑$875B: 100%

POLYMARKET

SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?

0 €

Below 0.5T: 1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which bubble bursts first?

5 €

AI: 17.4%

MYRIAD

At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T)

43,9 €

< $1.0 trillion: 11.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$64,549.48+1.73%

EthereumETH$1,919.99+2.11%

SolanaSOL$74.09+1.07%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0708+0.89%

BNBBNB$572.73+1.06%

XRPXRP$1.09+2.83%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026.

NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

ExchangeOne-OffIA Tech Equities Corporate Actions Business & Corporate5mo

PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibré

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Anthropic 83.2%

Qualite du marche

49 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

6,9 k €

Liquidité moyenne

Achat / Vente

83.0% / 84.0%

Spread

1.0 pt

Spread serré

Variation 7j

+4.5 pts

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes

19 mai 26, 20:261 janv. 27, 12:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

Anthropic84%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026.

NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.

Tendance du volume

$50

2 juil.28j de données29 juil.

Marchés Associés

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

10,8 k €

SpaceX: 87%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

9,3 k €

↑$1.1T: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by July 31?

449,2 €

↑$875B: 100%

POLYMARKET

SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?

0 €

Below 0.5T: 1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which bubble bursts first?

5 €

AI: 17.4%

MYRIAD

At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T)

43,9 €

< $1.0 trillion: 11.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$64,549.48+1.73%

EthereumETH$1,919.99+2.11%

SolanaSOL$74.09+1.07%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0708+0.89%

BNBBNB$572.73+1.06%

XRPXRP$1.09+2.83%

Actualités Associées

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

BitMEX sued for allegedly profiting from customer Bitcoin liquidationsCrypto News

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Binance plans crypto super app with payments, stocks and stablecoinsCrypto News

Règles

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026.

NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.