Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection4moManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBrad Finstad 74.5%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+4.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète5 sept. 25, 20:5231 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District in the November 2026 general election?
- Outcomes: • the named outcome (R – incumbent) • the named outcome (DFL – challenger) • the named outcome (Independent challenger) • Other (for any certified write-in or late-filing candidate)
- Definition of winner: The candidate who receives the most votes in the official certified results of the November 3, 2026 general election for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District.
- Source of truth: Official results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (or, if unavailable, Associated Press or other widely recognized election authorities).
- Time: Resolution will occur after certification, expected December 2026.
- Edge cases: • If the election is postponed, the market will remain open until certification. • If recounts occur, the market will resolve according to the final certified outcome. • If a candidate withdraws or is disqualified before the election, their option will still be valid but will resolve “NO” if they do not win. • If no resolution is possible (e.g., court-ordered rerun without certification), the market may resolve N/A, but every effort will be made to resolve to an actual outcome.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 160,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 845,4 k €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 11,5 M €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 50,3 M €
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Brad Finstad à 75% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District in the November 2026 general election?