Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20262mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBrad Finstad 65.3%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-8.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète5 sept. 25, 20:52 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District in the November 2026 general election?
- Outcomes: • the named outcome (R – incumbent) • the named outcome (DFL – challenger) • the named outcome (Independent challenger) • Other (for any certified write-in or late-filing candidate)
- Definition of winner: The candidate who receives the most votes in the official certified results of the November 3, 2026 general election for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District.
- Source of truth: Official results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (or, if unavailable, Associated Press or other widely recognized election authorities).
- Time: Resolution will occur after certification, expected December 2026.
- Edge cases: • If the election is postponed, the market will remain open until certification. • If recounts occur, the market will resolve according to the final certified outcome. • If a candidate withdraws or is disqualified before the election, their option will still be valid but will resolve “NO” if they do not win. • If no resolution is possible (e.g., court-ordered rerun without certification), the market may resolve N/A, but every effort will be made to resolve to an actual outcome.
