Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle5+ 34.3%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète27 mars 26, 20:07 UTC28 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner
Manifold MarketsWhat combination of parties will form executive government after the 2026 Victorian state election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party or coalition will win the primary vote in the 2026 Victorian state election?
Manifold MarketsVictorian state election winner?
KalshiAlaska Senate election: number of rounds
KalshiNext Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
PolymarketRègles
The orange tide is sweeping the nation as the LNP brand collapses, but Victoria is the place One Nation finds it hardest to succeed - usually.
- What will happen this November?
- Question refers to Lower House seats only - i.e. seats in the Legislative assembly.
- (The legislative assembly is the Victoria equivalent of the house of representatives federally.
- The question does NOT include the upper house, i.e. the Legislative Council, which is the equivalent of the Senate.)
- It will be resolved ASAP after the election, which may mean after recounts and any court cases if they affect the answer!
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Victorian State Election 2026: Number of Seats won by One Nation ?
- Manifold Markets cote 5+ à 34% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Victorian State Election 2026: Number of Seats won by One Nation sera-t-il résolu ?
- Victorian State Election 2026: Number of Seats won by One Nation doit être résolu le 28 novembre 2026.
- Comment Victorian State Election 2026: Number of Seats won by One Nation est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The orange tide is sweeping the nation as the LNP brand collapses, but Victoria is the place One Nation finds it hardest to succeed - usually.