PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
December 31 23%-3.0ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
8 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
285,7 €
Baja liquidezComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-4.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado7 feb 26, 22:051 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Khatnie, Kharkiv Oblast, (50.121266° N, 37.565909° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Mercados abiertos
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)-1.0pt24%
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- Volumen total
- 20,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 221,8 mil €
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt24%
- October 31-2.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 resultados más
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- June 30, 2027-0.5pt15%
- December7%
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- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volumen total
- 301,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 44,6 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Russia enter Hannivka by which date?
- December 31+16.9pt98%
- September 30+39.0pt97%
- August 31-5.0pt0%
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt39%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.1pt5%
+3 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia enter Khatnie by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December 31 al 23% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia enter Khatnie by which date??
- Está previsto que Will Russia enter Khatnie by which date? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia enter Khatnie by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Khatnie, Kharkiv Oblast, (50.121266° N, 37.565909° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).