PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualNo 94.1%
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
4,4 €
Liquidez
514,5 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-4.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
13 ene 26, 23:173 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes6%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general65% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 94% | +88pt | 4,4 € | 17,1 mil € | hace 11 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Baja | 95% | +89pt | 4,4 € | 514,5 € | hace 11 minutos |
También disponible en Kalshi
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
4.7 pts5m
94%
-4.7pt6%
62 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total34,2 mil €
Volumen 24h4,4 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S.
- House at that time, excluding vacant seats.
- Ties do not qualify as a majority.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$58 jul17d de datos28 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S.
- House at that time, excluding vacant seats.
- Ties do not qualify as a majority.