Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 99%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
7,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
99.0% / 99.9%
Spread
0.9 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
2
Cambio 7d
+7.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
15 nov 25, 0:41 UTC3 nov 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
The 2026 midterm elections for the US Senate is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republicans hold fewer seats in the Senate for any state that Trump won in the 2024 US presidential election as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Initial seat counts will be based on the composition of the US Senate as of November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Vacant seats will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
- This market's resolution will be solely based on the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate for any state won by Trump in the 2024 Presidential election.