If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 96.4%
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado13 ene 24, 5:59 UTC31 dic 26, 5:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
If Trump won the election, will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than 2022?
- This market will resolve YES if the 2025 democracy index for the United States released by the EIU is higher than 7.85, NO if it's less than or equal to 7.85
- Resolves NA if Trump didnt win the 2024 presidential election
- Economic Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index
- Compare the price against this market to estimate if Trump will worsen Democracy in the US
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AmmonLam/if-biden-won-the-election-will-the)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022??
- Está previsto que If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Trump won the election, will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than 2022?