Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
4.7 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS Politics5m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualNo 94%
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,4 €
Liquidez
17,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
6.3% / 8.8%
Spread
2.5 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
11 feb 26, 15:008 ene 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes6%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 94% | +88pt | 4,4 € | 17,1 mil € | hace 13 minutos | |
 Polymarket65% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 95% | +89pt | 4,4 € | 510,4 € | hace 13 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
0.5 pts3m
94.1%
+0.0pt5.9%
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total17,1 mil €
Volumen 24h4,4 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S.
- House of Representatives after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$52 jul20d de datos28 jul
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If the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S.
- House of Representatives after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.