PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualSí 25%-0.0%
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
203,3 mil €
Liquidez
122,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
24.0% / 25.0%
Spread
4.2%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
13 jun 26, 21:4915 jul 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes25%
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? [Polymarket]
23d
24%
76%
Pronóstico comunitario45 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total6,1 mil €
Volumen 24h1,4 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 15, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 15, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.