PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 83.2%+1.5pt
Calidad del mercado
45 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
28,6 €
Liquidez
2,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
17
Cambio 7d
+9.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado28 oct 25, 15:0131 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- September 30+7.5pt100%
- September 15+11.9pt100%
- September 9+18.4pt100%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 613,3 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+4.3pt96%
- September 30-0.9pt84%
- September 2581%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- September 30-1.0pt96%
- October 31-1.4pt96%
- September 11+43.5pt91%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.1pt65.4%
- ChatGPT+2.8pt15.9%
- Grok-1.7pt9.3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 8,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+16.5pt76.8%
- Moonshot-9.8pt13.1%
- Z.ai-6.5pt6.1%
+8 resultados más
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 83% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??
- Está previsto que OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET.