Probabilidad implícita actual
March 31, 2027 28%-2.5pt
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
5,8 mil €
Liquidez
13 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
23
Cambio 7d
+5.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
24 jun 26, 9:44 UTC1 abr 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage Exit Date
SmarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiNext Reform Leader
SmarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.