Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.6%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 38 minutos
4 sept 26, 8:14 UTC28 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketWill Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Manifold MarketsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketReglas
Reform have been exposed accepting foreign donations by an undercover investigation provided to Channel 4.
- This is while a Parliamentary investigation is ongoing into a £5 million donate Farage received.
- This market asks: does Farage leave his post before 1st March 2027? Resolves YES if there is a statement from either Farage himself or from Reform UK that he will not be holding the post of leader.
- He does not have to leave Reform UK or resign as an MP for a YES resolution to be triggered, this is solely about his position as leader of the political party.
