Este mercado se resolvió: September 21
Resuelto: 21 sept 2026, 18:20
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
September 21
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
20%
SorpresaAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 22 sept 2026, 16:22 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Cronología de Probabilidad
September 195%
September 250%
No release by September 3019%
September 170%
September 280%
September 2219%
September 21100%
September 230%
September 240%
September 270%
September 290%
September 300%
September 21Ganada
On or prior to September 9Perdida
September 10Perdida
September 11Perdida
September 12Perdida
September 13Perdida
September 14Perdida
September 15Perdida
September 16Perdida
September 17Perdida
September 18Perdida
September 19Perdida
September 20Perdida
September 22Perdida
September 23Perdida
September 24Perdida
September 25Perdida
September 26Perdida
September 27Perdida
September 28Perdida
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LimitlessReglas
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
