Will "The current SOTA model was released without s..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-Off1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado9 mar 26, 3:02 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post The current SOTA model was released without safety evals is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "The current SOTA model was released without s..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "The current SOTA model was released without s..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Está previsto que Will "The current SOTA model was released without s..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will "The current SOTA model was released without s..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.