PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No release by June 30
Resuelto: 1 jul 2026, 6:39
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No release by June 30 100%+1.4ptLíder entre 30 opciones
Calidad del mercado
45 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
2,7 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaSpread
2.4 pt
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
+4.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 61 días
Desactualizado1 jun 26, 23:0130 jun 26, 16:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
No release by June 30100%
June 280%
June 290%
June 301%
June 160%
June 150%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
