PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
September 30 96%-1.0ptLíder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
60 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
40 mil €
Liquidez
90 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado14 ago 26, 21:4631 oct 26, 23:59
Tendencias
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
