Probabilidad implícita actual
Łukasz Gibała 78.6%+0.5ptLíder entre 17 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,7 mil €
Liquidez
175,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+4.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
7 ago 26, 0:40 UTC27 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
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Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland.
- A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Kraków mayoral election winner? · Łukasz Gibała 65%
