Probabilidad implícita actual
Olivia Chow 78%Líder entre 36 opciones
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,1 €
Liquidez
100,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
1 abr 26, 18:4026 oct 26, 12:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Olivia Chow78%
Comparar plataformas· Olivia Chow
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 78% | 0pt | 2,1 € | 100,6 mil € | hace 10 minutos | |
 KalshiMás activa85% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 76% | -2pt | 4,4 € | 5,5 mil € | hace 10 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets85% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 68% | -10pt | — | — | hace 27 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
Toronto mayoral election winner?
4.0 pts1a
-4.0pt73.1%
19.2%
3.9%
+1 resultados más
53 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez media
Volumen total13,3 mil €
Volumen 24h4,4 €
KALSHITambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
3m
+0.8pt68.1%
-0.7pt27%
-0.1pt2.4%
+3 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario18 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$22 jul26d de datos27 jul
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The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.