Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?
PolíticaOne-OffGeopolíticaOriente MedioPolítica de EE. UU.8m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
No · —
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No 55%
No 55%Calidad del mercado
37 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
182,4 €
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446,1 €
Baja liquidezInterés abierto
106,6 US$
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 44 minutos
29 oct 26, 21:33 UTC1 jul 27, 3:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers before the ceasefire between the United States and Iran ends.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If neither a qualifying announcement of the end of the blockade nor the end of the ceasefire between the United States and Iran occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of the end of the blockade qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
