PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actual<5 53%-4.0%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
273,7 €
Liquidez
36,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
2.2% / 7.1%
Spread
222.7%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-0.3%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
12 dic 25, 0:4531 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
<553%
También disponible en Kalshi
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5.0%6m
-5.0%2%
-4.0%1%
2%
+7 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total47,9 €
Volumen 24h0,4 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.