PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual5-6 67%+7.5%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
745,4 €
Liquidez
16,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
63.0% / 70.0%
Spread
11.1%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+10.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
12 dic 25, 0:4531 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
5-667%
Comparar plataformas· 5-6
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general90% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 51% | -16pt | 861,9 € | 14,1 mil € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Media | 67% | 0pt | 745,4 € | 16,1 mil € | hace 17 minutos | |
| Kalshi80% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 88% | +21pt | 0 € | 2,3 mil € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless94% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 66% | -1pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 89% | +22pt | — | — | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Limitless
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5m
65.9%
19.3%
11.8%
+5 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total21,6 €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Kalshi
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
1.0%5m
51%
18%
+2.0%16%
+7 resultados más
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total22,4 mil €
Volumen 24h861,9 €
KALSHITambién disponible en Manifold Markets
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
5m
-1.8%89.2%
-1.9%60.9%
+1.5%27%
+5 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario60 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5m
88%
71%
38%
+7 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread moderadoLiquidez media
Volumen total2,9 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$8482 jul25d de datos26 jul
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This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.