Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual3 or more 97.8%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
65
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
2 ago 25, 1:13 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many Starship launches will occur in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starship launches will occur in 2028?
Manifold MarketsStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
LimitlessStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiHow many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
KalshiReglas
Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 622,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 579,5 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 411,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 411,6 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.3%
- 160-179+5.0pt28.6%
- 200-219-4.0pt15.2%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt87.3%
- 65-89-10.0pt12.8%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 resultados más
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
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- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Next James Bond actor?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many Starship launches will occur in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 3 or more al 98% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many Starship launches will occur in 2026??
- Está previsto que How many Starship launches will occur in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many Starship launches will occur in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- ¿Dónde más está listado How many Starship launches will occur in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi.