LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual
5-6 50%Líder entre 8 opciones
5-6 50%Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
26 jun 26, 9:45 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship 15th launch?
KalshiWhen will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
KalshiReglas
5-6 · 16 · 13-14 · 15-16 · 11-12.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — How many Starship launches will occur in 2026? · 3 or more 100%
- También disponible en Polymarket — How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? · 5-6 57%
- También disponible en Kalshi — How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026? · Above 3 91%
