KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
5 47.4%Líder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
21,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
27 may 26, 0:30 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
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FutuurReglas
If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:SpaceX
- A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
- Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
- (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
- If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? · <5 51%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — How many Starship launches will occur in 2026? · 3 or more 98%
- También disponible en Kalshi — How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026? · Above 3 85%
- También disponible en Limitless — How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? · 5-6 68%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza 5 al 47% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026??
- Está previsto que How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket, Manifold Markets, Kalshi, Limitless.