KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual2 5%+1.0%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
861,9 €
Liquidez
14,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
3.0% / 8.0%
Spread
166.7%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
27 may 26, 0:301 ene 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
25%
Comparar plataformas· 5-6
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 51% | -15pt | 861,9 € | 14,1 mil € | hace 7 minutos | |
 Polymarket90% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 67% | +1pt | 745,3 € | 16,3 mil € | hace 7 minutos | Abrir → |
| Kalshi80% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 88% | +22pt | 0 € | 2,3 mil € | hace 7 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless90% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 66% | +0pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 27 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 89% | +23pt | — | — | hace 27 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
7.5%5m
+7.5%67%
-5.5%19%
-0.6%11%
+5 resultados más
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total430,3 mil €
Volumen 24h745,3 €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Limitless
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5m
66.3%
19.3%
11.8%
+5 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total21,6 €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
5m
-1.8%89.2%
-1.9%60.9%
+1.5%27%
+5 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario60 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5m
88%
71%
38%
+7 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread moderadoLiquidez media
Volumen total2,9 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
- Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
- (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
- If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$9802 jul25d de datos26 jul
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AI data center in space by which date?
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If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
- Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
- (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
- If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.