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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Tecnología
  3. By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
Manifold Markets

By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?

TecnologíaYearlySpace6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
4 (all flight #s are on or before) 0%
Líder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores

65

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

22 mar 24, 17:571 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Manifold Markets
4 (all flight #s are on or before)
0%
Manifold Markets
5
0%

Resultado elegido

121%

Reglas

An orbit around earth is defined as having a perigee above 100 km.

Manifold Markets
  • All past flights have targeted perigees with negative values (inside the surface of the earth).
  • So when do you think Starship will have a perigee above 100km?
  • This obviously assumes Starship is in one piece and flying nominally when it reaches this orbit.
  • If a piece of debris once belonging to Starship happens to reach orbit it will not count (resolve NO).
  • Starship must actually fly to orbit if it is targeted so if orbit is not reached in flight this market resolves NO.

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Reglas

An orbit around earth is defined as having a perigee above 100 km.

Manifold Markets
  • All past flights have targeted perigees with negative values (inside the surface of the earth).
  • So when do you think Starship will have a perigee above 100km?
  • This obviously assumes Starship is in one piece and flying nominally when it reaches this orbit.
  • If a piece of debris once belonging to Starship happens to reach orbit it will not count (resolve NO).
  • Starship must actually fly to orbit if it is targeted so if orbit is not reached in flight this market resolves NO.