PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
2027 16%-0.5pt
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
120,2 €
Liquidez
27,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
3
Cambio 7d
-2.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
14 may 26, 17:47 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will data center technicians still be necessary in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiWill there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).
- “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volumen total
- 241,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 128 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 349,4 mil €
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de AI data center in space by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza 2027 al 16% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve AI data center in space by which date??
- Está previsto que AI data center in space by which date? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida AI data center in space by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- ¿Dónde más está listado AI data center in space by which date??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets, Futuur.