PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
125-130m 22.3%-0.5ptLíder entre 11 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
15,9 €
Liquidez
109,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-1.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
20 feb 26, 17:41 UTC3 nov 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiReglas
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? · 125 million and above 22%
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 112,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 184,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 891,3 mil €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volumen total
- 4,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 505,9 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volumen total
- 25,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 384,3 mil €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volumen total
- 2,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 358,3 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
- Polymarket cotiza 125-130m al 22% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
- Está previsto que 2026 Midterms: House Turnout se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- ¿Dónde más está listado 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.