2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
8.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualOther 46%Líder entre 14 opciones
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
9 mil €
Liquidez
278,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
32.0% / 34.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
+8.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
19 feb 26, 0:273 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Other46%
Tendencia de volumen
$10.3k4 jul19d de datos27 jul
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This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election.
- The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S.
- House candidates in the election.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S.
- Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.