2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
One-OffPolíticaElecciónUS Politics1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualDemocrats, 8 to 10% 22.1%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
77 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
5,7 mil €
Liquidez
430,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
21.0% / 22.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 minutos
4 feb 26, 15:003 nov 27, 13:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democrats, 6 to 8%22%
Comparar plataformas· Democrats, 8 to 10%
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 25% | — | 5,7 mil € | 430,7 mil € | hace 21 minutos | |
 PredictIt87% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 25% | — | — | — | hace 21 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en PredictIt
What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms?
8m
25%
25%
0%
+5 resultados más
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITReglas
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$3.4k98.2%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Nohace 8 d
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Nohace 8 d$2.0k98.5%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Nohace 8 d
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Nohace 8 d$1.2k98.5%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Nohace 8 d
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Nohace 8 dTendencia de volumen
$6.5k2 jul27d de datos28 jul
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If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.