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  3. 2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaElecciónUS Politics1a
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Republicans win
Republicans win 15%-1.0%
Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado

60 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

162 €

Liquidez

3 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

14.0% / 15.0%

Spread

7.1%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

4 feb 26, 15:003 nov 27, 13:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Republicans win15%

PolymarketTambién disponible en Polymarket

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

6.0%4m
Other
Other
46%
Democrats 8-10%
Democrats 8-10%
-0.5%19%
Democrats 6-8%
Democrats 6-8%
+6.0%18%

+11 resultados más

89 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total53,1 mil €
Volumen 24h9 mil €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Reglas

If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
  • The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Reglas

If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
  • The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.