2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
One-OffPolíticaElecciónUS Politics1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democrats, 8 to 10% 22.9%-1.0ptLíder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
86 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
11,7 mil €
Liquidez
1 M €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
4 feb 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 13:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the Clerk of the House
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)?
- Kalshi cotiza Democrats, 8 to 10% al 23% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)?
- Está previsto que 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en PredictIt.