Aviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 10 jul 2026, 6:13 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Probabilidad implícita actual
Gavin Newsom 48.3%+0.1%Líder entre 32 opciones
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
-
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
24 feb 26, 14:411 ene 00, 0:01
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Gavin Newsom48%
Comparar plataformas· Gavin Newsom
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general78% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 19% | 0pt | 993 mil € | 62 M € | hace 11 minutos | Abrir → |
 Kalshi74% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 19% | 0pt | 342,6 mil € | 87,7 M € | hace 6 minutos | Abrir → |
 Smarkets64% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 21% | +2pt | 0,9 € | 0 € | hace 3 minutos | Abrir → |
 MyriadEsta página | Baja | 48% | +29pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 3 minutos | |
 Limitless78% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 23% | +4pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 4 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets78% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 20% | +1pt | — | — | hace 30 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets78% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 22% | +3pt | — | — | anteayer | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
-0.4%19%
-0.9%14%
-2.1%10%
+125 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total1077,6 M €
Volumen 24h993 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
1a
7.1%
20%
6%
+14 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario21 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
-0.1%21.7%
+0.6%11.7%
-0.1%6.5%
+5 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario13 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Limitless
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
23%
13.9%
5.5%
+3 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total10,7 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0.1%2a
-0.1%0%
-0.1%1%
+0.1%4%
+43 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total128,9 M €
Volumen 24h342,6 mil €
KALSHITambién disponible en Smarkets
Democratic Presidential Nominee
13.5%
0.1%
2.6%
+19 resultados más
32 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total9,2 mil €
Volumen 24h0,9 €
SMARKETSReglas
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.