Aviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 7 ago 2026, 15:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Gavin Newsom 44.3%Líder entre 32 opciones
Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaTraders
5,243
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
24 feb 26, 14:411 ene 00, 0:01
Tendencias
Reglas
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
Referencia CoinRithm Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · 5 plataformas · 3 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election · Gavin Newsom 24%
- También disponible en Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- También disponible en Gemini — 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22%
- También disponible en Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · AOCA 20%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 21%
- También disponible en Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20%
- También disponible en ForecastEx — Will J.B. Pritzker win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028? · No 96%
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Myriad cotiza Gavin Newsom al 44% a fecha de 25 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Está previsto que Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2100.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Myriad liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: ### **Market Dates:**
- ¿Dónde más está listado Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Gemini, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx.