¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Myriad cotiza Gavin Newsom al 40.7% a fecha de 10 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Está previsto que Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2100.

Myriad liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: ### **Market Dates:**

La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, PredictIt.

MyriadComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos verificados limitados

Aviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo

Datos del 10 oct 2026, 7:01 UTC · política pm-quality-4

Probabilidad implícita actual

Gavin Newsom 40.7%+2.5pt

Líder entre 32 opciones

Calidad del mercado

22 / 100

Baja calidad

Volumen 24h

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Liquidez

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Liquidez desconocida

Traders

5,547

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

24 feb 26, 14:41 UTC1 ene 00, 0:01 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Reglas

### **Market Dates:**

- **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
### **Resolution Details:**
- Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.