MyriadProbabilidad implícita actual
JD Vance 67.4%-0.1%Líder entre 32 opciones
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
-
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
24 feb 26, 14:331 ene 00, 0:01
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
JD Vance67%
Comparar plataformas· J.D. Vance
Ordenado por volumen de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMás activa | 40% | 0pt | 1,3 M € | 41,4 M € | hace 13 minutos | Abrir → |
 Kalshi | 41% | +1pt | 96,2 mil € | 31 M € | hace 8 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets | 40% | +0pt | — | — | hace 7 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 39% | -1pt | — | — | hace 9 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 40% | 0pt | — | — | hace 9 días | Abrir → |
| MyriadEsta página | 67% | +27pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 6 minutos | |
 PredictIt | 37% | -3pt | — | — | hace 6 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless | 24% | -16pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 6 minutos | Abrir → |
 Smarkets | 38% | -2pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 6 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
49%
+0.1%40%
-0.3%25%
+125 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total587,7 M €
Volumen 24h1,3 M €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
2a
2.8%
2%
0.1%
+35 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario799 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total953,3 mil €
Volumen 24h2,1 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37%
29%
5%
+11 resultados más
Retail prediction exchange
Volumen total0 €
Volumen 24h0 €
PREDICTITTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
2a
1.8%
3%
0.5%
+22 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario62 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total21,5 mil €
Volumen 24h102,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
39.4%
27.8%
3.5%
+3 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario19 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total6,1 mil €
Volumen 24h109,6 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Limitless
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
23.5%
50%
2.9%
+4 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total13,3 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Kalshi
2028 Republican presidential nominee
0.2%2a
+0.2%1%
3%
-1.0%29%
+35 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total44,4 M €
Volumen 24h96,2 mil €
KALSHITambién disponible en Smarkets
Republican Presidential Nominee
0.2%
3.3%
0.1%
+24 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total3,7 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
SMARKETSReglas
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.