Datos del 7 ago 2026, 15:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
JD Vance 54.4%
Líder entre 32 opciones
Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidad
Volumen 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocida
Traders
4,800
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
24 feb 26, 14:331 ene 00, 0:01
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
### **Market Dates:**
- **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined.
- **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved.
- **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**.
- If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.”
- Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from:
- **Associated Press**
- **Reuters**
- **Fox News**
### **Resolution Details:**
- Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately.
- If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome.
- Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
Referencia CoinRithm J.D. Vance 44% · 4 plataformas · 3 pt de dispersion entre venues