Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%Líder entre 17 opciones
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado23 dic 24, 23:29 UTC1 jul 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Conditional on (x) being the 2028 democratic nominee, (x) wins the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican nominee or Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiReglas
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on who becomes the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2028 presidential election, as determined by:
- Securing enough delegates to win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, OR
- Being declared the presumptive nominee after all other candidates have dropped out or suspended their campaigns
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- The Democratic Party dissolves or ceases to exist before 2028
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028 · AOC 17%
- También disponible en Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%
- También disponible en Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Jon Ossoff 17%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · JOSS 20%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- También disponible en Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
