¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Manifold Markets cotiza Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez al 15.3% a fecha de 10 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Está previsto que Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 se resuelva el 15 de agosto de 2028.

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria

La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, Myriad.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Other 32%-0.4pt

Líder entre 8 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

-1.0 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 7 horas

Desactualizado

18 may 26, 11:15 UTC15 ago 28, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

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Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

Reglas

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
The market resolves based on the results of the 2028 Democratic National Convention.
If a candidate other than those listed officially receives the nomination, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
In the event that the Democratic Party fails to field a presidential nominee, or if the election is cancelled, the market will resolve N/A. Official confirmation will be sourced from the Democratic National Committee (https://democrats.org/) and major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters).