Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 76%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado7 jun 26, 22:00 UTC31 ago 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee
Robinhood (Rothera)Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Manifold MarketsAge of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the official Democratic nominee for President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election is a woman.
- It will resolve to NO if the nominee is a man or does not identify as a woman.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by the official nomination at the 2028 Democratic National Convention (scheduled for August 7–10, 2028) or the official nominee certified by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) if the selection is conducted via an alternative official process (e.g., a virtual roll call).
- Gender Identity: The gender of the nominee will be determined by their public self-identification at the time of nomination.
- Edge Cases: If a candidate is officially nominated but subsequently withdraws, dies, or is replaced after the formal conclusion of the nominating convention or official selection process, the market will still resolve based on the identity of the person who originally accepted the nomination.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
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- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 76% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman??
- Está previsto que Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? se resuelva el 31 de agosto de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en PredictIt, Polymarket.