Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?
One-OffAmérica LatinaPolítica de EE. UU.GeopolíticaOriente MedioRusia / UcraniaChinaPolítica2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 9:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 92.7%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado14 ene 26, 23:47 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Iran succumb to U.S. demands?
Manifold MarketsWill Hamas continue to exist as a military organization in Israel Palestine through 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the "bald-hairy" pattern of Russian rulers continue after Putin?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill another country support Venezuela militarily?
Manifold MarketsWhich regimes will survive until 2028?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if either:
- The Bolivarian regime is replaced, democratically or by force, and a friendlier government is put in place.
- The Bolivarian regime continues "ruling" the country, but under american leash: depending on the US to finance itself, to import goods, and export oil.
- Major american demands are obeyed, such as changing economic, social and foreign policy, giving up demand to the US, letting american companies operate and extract oil.
- This market resolves NO if Venezuela:
