Will another country support Venezuela militarily?
PolíticaOne-OffRusia / UcraniaChinaAmérica LatinaOriente MedioGeopolítica1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 16:20 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.6%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado5 ene 26, 16:33 UTC31 dic 27, 16:30 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any country provides direct military support to Venezuela after January 5, 2026.
- Military support includes: combat troops, weapons systems, ammunition, military aircraft, naval vessels, or active military personnel engaged in combat operations or direct defense of Venezuelan territory/goverment.
- The market resolves NO if no country provides such support tis year (2026).
- Diplomatic statements, humanitarian aid, or technical maintenance/training by foreign military personnel do not count as military support for this market.
- On January 3, 2026, President Nicolás Maduro was deposed and captured in a U.S. military operation.
