Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
PolíticaYearlyUS PoliticsElección2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 81.7%
Pronosticadores
49
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado7 nov 24, 23:46 UTC21 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold MarketsWhen will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/4-9/11)
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiReglas
According to Silver Bulletin.
- If they stop doing approval ratings (as FiveThirtyEight did), another reliable source will be used.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 112,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 184,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 891,3 mil €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volumen total
- 4,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 505,9 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volumen total
- 25,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 384,3 mil €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volumen total
- 2,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 358,3 mil €
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 82% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term??
- Está previsto que Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term? se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: According to Silver Bulletin.