Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72%
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19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado14 ene 26, 23:22 UTC20 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Given Gallups recent announcement to no longer track and publish approval ratings, I changing the criteria to be based on the NY Times:
- https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/donald-trump-approval-rating-polls.html
- Times also trends higher than Gallup so adjusting the target up 2 points.
- Leaving the original description below for posterity:
- This market resolves to true if Trump's approval rating during his second term falls below the lowest of any President since Nixon.
- GW Bush had the lowest at 25%, so this resolves to true if at any point in his second term his approval drops to 24% or below
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 72% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term?
- Está previsto que Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Given Gallups recent announcement to no longer track and publish approval ratings, I changing the criteria to be based on the NY Times: