Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 82%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado14 ene 26, 23:22 UTC20 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump’s approval rating at the end of his second term be at least as low as Joe Biden’s?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?
KalshiIf protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiReglas
Given Gallups recent announcement to no longer track and publish approval ratings, I changing the criteria to be based on the NY Times:
- https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/donald-trump-approval-rating-polls.html
- Times also trends higher than Gallup so adjusting the target up 2 points.
- Leaving the original description below for posterity:
- This market resolves to true if Trump's approval rating during his second term falls below the lowest of any President since Nixon.
- GW Bush had the lowest at 25%, so this resolves to true if at any point in his second term his approval drops to 24% or below
