If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolítica2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 65.6%
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado8 jun 25, 5:39 UTC20 ene 29, 11:59 UTC
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I'll look at the net approval rating at https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin one week after at least one protestor got shot by law enforcement.
- It doesn't matter what agency the agent was from who shot the protestor(s).
- National guard or military counts as well, as long as it happened while they were on duty, responding to a protest.
- If no protestors get shot during the second term I'll resolve the market N/A. If net approval is exactly identical in Silver's report, this resolves NO, since it didn't go up.
- It's irrelevant for the market condition if the protestor survives.
- As long as they were hit by a proper, potentially deadly bullet, not rubber bullets or teargas or similar, it counts.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 66% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up??
- Está previsto que If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up? se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I'll look at the net approval rating at https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin one week after at least one protestor got shot by law enforcement.