Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
TecnologíaOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 63.9%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado8 ene 25, 19:34 UTC21 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Background: iMessage, owned by Apple, currently uses end-to-end encryption for all messages, meaning only the sender and recipient can read message contents.
- While Apple can and does share certain metadata with law enforcement, they cannot access the actual content of encrypted messages in the current version of the iMessage software.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if, before January 20, 2029, one of the listed Internet news sites reports that Apple has provided the content of at least one iMessage message to a US law enforcement agency. "Content" refers to the actual text, images, videos, or other media sent in messages, not to metadata such as user names, IP addresses, or timestamps.
- Internet news sites: 404 Media, Ars Technica, Business Insider, The Markup, ProPublica, The Register, TechCrunch, The Verge.
