Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
TecnologíaOne-Off2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 56.6%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado8 ene 25, 14:50 UTC21 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Background: WhatsApp, owned by Meta, currently uses end-to-end encryption for all messages, meaning only the sender and recipient can read message contents.
- While WhatsApp can and does share certain metadata with law enforcement, they cannot access the actual content of encrypted messages in the current version of the Whatsapp software.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if, before January 20, 2029, one of the listed Internet news sites reports that Meta has provided the content of at least one WhatsApp message to a US law enforcement agency. "Content" refers to the actual text, images, videos, or other media sent in messages, not to metadata such as user names, IP addresses, or timestamps.
- Internet news sites: 404 Media, Ars Technica, Business Insider, The Markup, ProPublica, The Register, TechCrunch, The Verge.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029??
- Está previsto que Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029? se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Background: WhatsApp, owned by Meta, currently uses end-to-end encryption for all messages, meaning only the sender and recipient can read message contents.