Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 91.2%
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42
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado12 jul 25, 22:21 UTC21 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.
- Otherwise, if Trump dies, is successfully removed via impeachment, or ends his second term for any reason, this market will resolve No once any pending polls are added.
- The spirit of this market pertains to actual approval of Trump's actual legal term, so if his second term is extended via autocratic action or if postmortem polls are added for some glitchy/negligent reason, the market will have already resolved and will stay resolved.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends??
- Está previsto que Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.