Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 11:05 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.4%
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45
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado12 jul 25, 22:21 UTC21 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.
- Otherwise, if Trump dies, is successfully removed via impeachment, or ends his second term for any reason, this market will resolve No once any pending polls are added.
- The spirit of this market pertains to actual approval of Trump's actual legal term, so if his second term is extended via autocratic action or if postmortem polls are added for some glitchy/negligent reason, the market will have already resolved and will stay resolved.
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