KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Below 38% 98%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
376,8 €
Liquidez
110,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
11 dic 25, 15:00 UTC7 ene 27, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
LimitlessHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 38%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:VoteHub
- In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.
- If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 37%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 36%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 35%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 34%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 291,3 mil €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027??
- Kalshi cotiza Below 38% al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027??
- Está previsto que How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? se resuelva el 7 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 38%, then the market resolves to Yes.