Will Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Política comercialOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.GeopolíticaEuropaPolíticaEventos corporativosElección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 58.6%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 38 minutos
18 ene 26, 0:23 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump publicly states that Iceland should be a part of the USA before January 1, 2029.
- This includes statements made in speeches, press conferences, social media posts, interviews, or official communications.
- The statement must explicitly indicate that Iceland should become part of the United States (e.g., "Iceland should be a U.S. state," "we should acquire Iceland," or similar language).
- Trump's nominee for ambassador to Iceland joked with lawmakers that Iceland will become the 52nd U.S. state, signaling the administration's broader interest in Arctic territories.
- Iceland is situated along the GIUK Gap, a strategic chokepoint for surveillance in the Arctic region whose name references the first letters of Greenland, Iceland, and the United Kingdom.
