Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 97.4%
Pronosticadores
39
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado7 abr 26, 13:30 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Iran Nuke before 2027?
PolymarketWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketConditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: October
PolymarketReglas
Trump's rhetoric has had many commentators wondering if use of nuclear weapons is in the cards:
- [image]Any use of nuclear weapons in Iran by the US military while Trump is president will result in this market being resolved as YES.
- Otherwise NO.
