Will Trump get his third impeachment before 2027?
One-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.GeopolíticaOriente Medio2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 97%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado16 mar 26, 16:05 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump get a third term in office?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
Manifold MarketsPoll says more than 50% of Republicans OK with Trump third term?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution Criteria
- A simple majority is needed in the House for impeachment.
- The market resolves YES if the House of Representatives votes to impeach Trump for a third time before January 1, 2027.
- The market resolves NO if no third impeachment vote occurs by that date.
- Resolution will be determined by official House voting records available at Congress.gov.
- Trump was impeached twice during his first term, with his second impeachment occurring a week before he left office.
