Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.2%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado5 jul 26, 19:44 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2028, any region of the Russian Federation is officially declared or classified as experiencing a "famine" by any of the following entities:
- The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) or the Famine Review Committee (FRC) classifies any area within the Russian Federation as being in Phase 5 (Famine).
- Any major United Nations agency (such as the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), World Food Programme (WFP), or UNICEF) formally declares a "famine" within any region of Russia.
- The Government of the Russian Federation officially declares a state of "famine" (голод) or issues a federal emergency decree acknowledging famine conditions within the country's borders.
- A major, internationally recognized humanitarian organization (such as the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), Doctors Without Borders (MSF), or the International Rescue Committee (IRC)) publishes an official report or statement explicitly confirming that a famine is occurring in Russia.