Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029?
InflationOne-OffMacro & Economy2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 85.8%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado2 sept 26, 19:55 UTC31 ago 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if the first published seasonally adjusted August 2029 value of FRED series LNS12300060 (Employment-Population Ratio – 25–54 Yrs.) is below 50.0%.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- We will use the first published value for August 2029, ignoring subsequent revisions.
- If no August 2029 value has been published by December 31, 2029, the bet is void and this market will be canceled.
- (This market tracks a charity bet between Andy McKenzie and Jeff Kaufman. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BQksdkrtXDbr3CtoE/ai-tweets?commentId=ZbgAGmbcnKZWtsgh6)
Mercados abiertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 91 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 569,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 47,4 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 359,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 79,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 18,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,3 mil €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
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- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
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Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029??
- Está previsto que Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029? se resuelva el 31 de agosto de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the first published seasonally adjusted August 2029 value of FRED series LNS12300060 (Employment-Population Ratio – 25–54 Yrs.) is below 50.0%.